Florence, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

665
FXUS64 KHUN 141236
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
636 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 805 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

 - High shower chances Saturday Night into Sunday. Moderate rain
   amounts of 0.50-1.0 inches forecast.

 - Mild and dry weather is foreseen through next Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 354 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

High clouds continue to move in early this morning with current
temps ranging from near 30 degrees north of the TN River to the
upper 30s/40s south. Low chances for showers will increase during
the late morning into afternoon hours in northwest AL as warm
advection and isentropic lift increase, but the majority of the
area should remain dry through the daylight hours today. Highs
will top out in the low to mid 60s this afternoon with increasing
southeast winds that may be breezy at times.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Monday Night)
Issued at 805 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

The strong shortwave over northwest Mexico into AZ and NM will
rapidly travel east through TX on Saturday and into MS and AL on
Sunday. The 5h wave becomes more of a closed circulation and
stacked low Saturday night over MS with showers and thunderstorms
in the warm conveyor belt across AL wrapping around the low into a
developing deformation field. A dry slot arrives Sunday in
southwest and central AL south of the deformation field. A
resulting well defined corridor of moderate to heavier QPF from
northern MS through middle and eastern TN, clipping northwest and
far north AL. For our forecast area, amounts look to range from
0.50-1.0 on average, with higher amounts just to our northwest.
Thus, the threat of flooding is a low probability at this point.
With surface based convective instability being pinched off to our
south, the threat of severe thunderstorms for our area appears to
be quite low as well. The rain departs completely Sunday evening
with a surface high pressure/ridge axis at 8h arriving on Monday.
Temperatures will remain mild as a result, with highs warming into
the 60s again Monday afternoon with dew points staying in the
upper 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 805 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

For much of the extended period, troughing will be in place off
of the west coast, while troughing along the east coast on
Tuesday flattens and moves further off-shore. This will result in
a general zonal flow across much of the CONUS into the latter
portion of next week. At the surface, high pressure over the Mid
Atlantic region should build southward along the SE coast.
Therefore, dry conditions and a warmer trend is forecast across
the Tennessee Valley.

Under partly cloudy skies, mild to warm conditions are forecast
across the area, as high temperatures Tuesday rise into the upper
60s and lower 70s. The weak troughing feature will gradually move
eastward with a zonal flow continuing. The fast flowing polar jet
(with winds near the tropopause at or above 130kt from southern CA to
south of the Great Lakes) will bring more upper level moisture across
the southern CONUS. This will result in an increase in clouds as we
go through the mid to latter portion of the week. Despite the clouds,
decent lower-level warm air advection will make for a warmer mid and
late week. After low temperatures in the low/mid 50s Tue night, highs
on Wednesday should rise into the mid 70s with more clouds than sun.
Similar conditions are expected for Wed night/Thu with lows in the
mid 50s and highs again in the mid 70s.

More lower level moisture arriving from northeast Pacific basin,
will bring lower end chances of showers across the area Friday. With
the clouds and rain chances, high temperatures to close out the work
week should be a tad cooler, in the lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through much of the day until
increasing rain chances result in a high chance for MVFR
conditions this evening through the overnight hours. Expect
increasing SE flow throughout the afternoon and evening hours as
well with gusts up to near 20kts at times through the end of the
TAF period. Have maintained PROB30 groups for rain and reduced
vsbys after 00z at both terminals. MVFR conditions will persist
through the end of the TAF period.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....17
LONG TERM....RSB
AVIATION...25